Scott M. Berry, Berry Consultants
Abstract: Tiger Woods has an amazing record of winning golf tournaments. He has gained the persona of a player who is a winner, a player that when near the lead or in the lead can do whatever it takes to win. In this lecture I investigate whether in fact, he is a winner. A mathematical model is created for the ability of Tiger Woods, and all PGA Tour golfers to play 18 holes of tournament golf. The career of Tiger Woods is replayed using the mathematical model for all golfers and the results are very consistent with Tiger Woods’ actual career. The idealized Woods plays every hole the same, but with Woods’ natural variability from one hole to the next. This “Woods” plays no better or worse when he’s close to winning. Woods has not needed any additional winning dimension–only his pure golfing ability. So Woods is not a “winner” – but instead he is just a much better golfer than everyone else.