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Conditional Recurrence

This is a short article on conditional independence although the term conditional recurrence is used as the title. Basically, the article explores the difference between tossing a coin with a deterministic probability of heads versus tossing a coin with a random probability of heads. More specifically, the article considers the problem of choosing a coin at random from a box with two coins with different probabilities of heads, and then tossing the chosen coin. The tosses are conditionally independent given the type of coin, but dependent without this information.
Identifier: 
http://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/ConditionalRecurrence.shtml
Rating: 
Average: 2.9 (238 votes)
Creator(s): 
Alexander Bogomolny
Cataloger: 
Kyle Siegrist
Publisher: 
Cut-the-knot
Rights: 
Copyright Alexander Bogomolny. The HTML page can be accessed and linked to, but not copied or used in other works.